Bigger edge, bigger bet, small bankroll risk

Example only, from Oct 14.

We made two bets that day:

• NCAAF, Sam Houston moneyline at +104. 0.5u. Lost.
• MLB, Milwaukee +1.5 at -135. 1u. Won.

We had a better edge on Milwaukee than on Sam Houston, so we bet more on Milwaukee. The stronger the edge, the bigger the bet.

What it did to the day:

• Equal size (0.5u each): -0.50u, +0.37u. Net -0.13u.
• The size we bet: -0.50u, +0.74u. Net +0.24u.

Same results. Different day.

Now the part that matters most: bankroll. 1u is 1% of your bankroll. Our biggest bet that day was 1u, and the whole day put 1.5u at risk. Even if both had lost, we'd be down 1.5% of the bankroll, not a disaster. That's the point of sizing small. Most of our plays are 0.5u to 1.5u. No parlays. No chasing a loss with a bigger bet. We resize the unit monthly, not after a hot or cold day.

Sizing by edge only works inside that limit. Bet more on the better edge, but never so much that one bad result hurts.

What cuts against it: size doesn't make a bet win. A bigger bet only helps when the edge behind it is real, and one day proves nothing.

How we check: closing line value over 100+ bets. We post losses along with wins.

Education only, not a guarantee. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 1-800-GAMBLER.